Shen Fei is a relatively timid and cautious person in his bones.
It is said that the higher you stand, the farther you can see.
But there has to be a premise for this, and you have to have that ability first.
He knows very well that with his own capital, if he really goes to work against those bankers on Wall Street, and becomes a messenger of justice, he will be crushed by others every minute.
Not to mention.
The life and death of the people of the United States is none of their business?
Even if the people of the United States become poor ghosts, it will not affect their popular food and spicy food in China.
So.
Shen Fei really didn’t have any sympathy for the financial tsunami in the United States.
In his opinion, how to maximize the benefits for himself is the most important thing.
“Bankruptcy in September, right?”
Shen Fei muttered to himself, but he thought in his heart that since this was the case, there was not much time left for him.
Now it’s almost May, and I have more than four months to prepare, and what I have to do is to learn the male protagonist of “The Big Short” and short the rice stock market.
Sitting there, Shen Fei began to think silently.
After an unknown amount of time, Shen Fei slowly raised his head, and there was a cold light in his eyes.
“Give it a try.”
Shen Fei thought about it and said to himself.
When the male protagonist of “The Big Short” shorted the real estate market in the United States, he found Goldman Sachs on Wall Street and signed a VAM agreement, also known as a “credit default swap agreement”.
The content is simple: if the house price is still strong, then he will have to pay the bank 10 million dollars a month in insurance premiums; If housing prices crash, Goldman Sachs will pay him hundreds of millions of dollars in one go.
This is a fateful gamble, winning the clubhouse tender model, losing the sea to work!
And. He signed not just one bank, but several.
Deutsche Bank and the National Bank of the United States have signed this “VAM agreement” with him, and the insurance amount alone is 750 million US dollars.
Although Shen Fei did not have such outrageous courage.
But he thought he could try.
Thereupon.
Shen Fei called Lin Yuan.
“Wei, there’s something…”
Shen Fei told Lin Yuan about his analysis.
“What do you want to do?”
After listening to Shen Fei’s words, Lin Yuan’s first reaction 01 was that this guy was going to do something, and said helplessly: “Don’t tell me, you want to be the stock market of Empty Eagle Sauce.” “
“Why not?”
Shen Fei laughed: “I think, you can try.” “
“The subprime mortgage crisis has broken out, and the money we made before has been a lot, and now if we invest normally, the rate of return is not low.”
Lin Yuan said bitterly to Shen Fei: “If you really follow what you said, you are tantamount to gambling.” “
It’s the truth.
In Lin Yuan’s opinion, Shen Fei’s behavior was like gambling.
“Haha, I’ve been flying to the country for the past few days, let’s meet and talk.”
Shen Fei thought about it and said to Lin Yuan.
Lin Yuan was stunned and speechless, and Shen Fei had already hung up the phone.
………………
Word.
Shen Fei really bought a plane ticket and asked Shen Jun to accompany him to the United States.
Originally, she planned to call Lin Xue, but she wanted to investigate the follow-up of the three giant deer, so she didn’t follow Shen Fei.
When Shen Fei arrived in San Francisco, Lin Yuan had already taken Shen Juan to greet him at the airport.
“Haha, how is it, isn’t it spacious?”
Sitting in the extended Lincoln, Lin Yuan raised his wine glass and said to Shen Fei with a smile: “Let’s go to Silicon Valley when we go back, I bought you a villa over there.” “
“What Silicon Valley to go.”
Shen Fei said angrily: “What about the information I asked you to help me investigate?” “
“It’s been ready for a long time.”
Lin Yuan said helplessly: “But do you really plan to short U.S. stocks?” I think it’s stable now, and the impact of last year’s subprime mortgage crisis has basically been eliminated. “
“It’s so easy.”
Shen Fei shook his head when he heard this, and said calmly: “The subprime mortgage crisis is just the beginning. “
Hearing his words, Lin Yuan and Shen Juan glanced at each other, their faces full of helplessness.
Obviously.
Shen Fei’s words, they didn’t believe it.
After all, the two of them were in the United States, and what they felt was clearer than Shen Fei guessed.
From the perspective of Lin Yuan and Shen Juan, although the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States has a lot of impact, it only has a great impact on the real estate industry.
Speculation like Shen Fei’s is simply impossible.
Unless the U.S. stock market crashes completely!
Or rather, the subprime mortgage crisis is in full swing!
“Xiaofei, do you really want to short U.S. stocks?”
Shen Juan asked Shen Fei worriedly.
After all, she watched Shen Fei grow up since she was a child, she regarded Shen Fei as her own brother, and Shen Juan was very worried when she saw that he was going to take risks.
“Hmm.”
Shen Fei nodded: “Give it a try.” “
He knew very well that this was probably the last chance to get the wool of the rice people, and after this incident, there would basically be no more such times.
So, you have to grasp it no matter what.
“Okay then.”
Shen Juan nodded and said to Shen Fei: “I still have some money here…”
“No, not really.”
Shen Fei laughed when he heard this.
He knew what Shen Juan meant, it was nothing more than that he was afraid that he would not have enough money, but Shen Fei was not crazy enough to gamble.
Although full of confidence, Shen Fei understands the truth of not putting all your eggs in the same basket.
So.
He also left room for it.
“I’m just going to invest a billion dollars.”
Shen Fei said calmly: “I made 1.4 billion US dollars before, and I invested a lot of money before and after, and I will make up for the rest with my own money.” “
There was a pause.
He looked at Lin Yuan: “I won’t take you this time, you guy has no confidence in me.” “
“Cut, if you ask me to participate, I won’t participate.”
Lin Yuan waved his hand: “You can count it in your heart, anyway, I keep all the money, and when you need it, use it directly.” “
He has his own considerations, after all, Shen Fei’s behavior this time is really too risky, if he loses, it is very likely that he will lose all his money.
But Shen Fei still has such a big business in China, Lin Yuan feels that his hundreds of millions of dollars will still be of some help to Shen Fei.
And.
Shen Fei didn’t plan to take himself with him, which meant that he wasn’t completely sure.
This discovery made Lin Yuan even more worried about Shen Fei.
Shen Fei smiled and didn’t explain anything more.
In fact, the more you talk about many things, the easier it is to be misunderstood.
The reason why he didn’t take Lin Yuan with him was very simple, that is, he didn’t want Lin Yuan to be too deeply involved.
There is a difference between making money with these people and becoming an ATM for these people.
Even if Lin Yuan is his future brother-in-law, it is the same.
……………………
In the next half a month.
Shen Fei constantly met and negotiated with bankers in the United States.
even quarreled with the bosses of these consortia.
Ultimately.
Shen Fei, like the male protagonist of “The Big Short”, signed a credit guarantee contract.
Starting in June, if the stock market in the United States does not fall, Shen Fei will give Goldman Sachs Bank 10 million US dollars every month. But if the stock market falls, Goldman Sachs will pay Shen Fei $100 million.
Shen Fei signed five such contracts.
He was originally going to throw a billion dollars into it, but unfortunately, there were only five banks willing to bet against him.
Moreover, the term of each one is only one year.
In other words.
If Shen Fei fails, within a year, he will have to pay a full 600 million US dollars.
But if he wins, he’ll make six billion dollars.
This number is unimaginable.
Everyone thought that this young man from the East was crazy. (If you read a violent novel, go to Feilu Novel Network!) ）
You must know that at the beginning of 07, interest rates in the United States rose, housing prices peaked, mortgage overdue repayments were frequent, and the credit market had begun to collapse from the bottom, while the CDO market controlled by Wall Street investment banks still resisted stubbornly until June 07 before finally began to lower its noble head, which lasted for half a year.
Subprime loans defaulted, bonds and CDOs built on them began to depreciate sharply, and all buyers who were long CDS finally realized that a catastrophe was coming, and the short sellers proved themselves right.
Although there is no 100% full payout, there is no guarantee that the players at the table will be able to honor their bets when the day DCO reaches zero.
Bears sell their short bets back to the investment banks that hold CDS at 30% of the value of the CDO, and get several times the return of the bet cost of 2% insurance.
There is a rookie hedge fund manager who started with $110,000, known as a garage fund on Wall Street, who shorted CDS with assets of $30 million and was worth $130 million at the end of the subprime mortgage.
And now.
Another madman has appeared!
To be honest, the news media at home and abroad are not so developed now, otherwise someone would have exposed the news a long time ago.
If this is placed ten years later, Shen Fei will be called the first loser in history in minutes.
Even so, many people in the entire Wall Street financial circle said that this Chinese must be crazy, and really thought that he had made some money in the subprime mortgage crisis before and became a financial genius?
Someone even carefully calculated that if this young man continued to play like this, it would not be long before he would lose all the money he had earned.
But Shen Fei didn’t care, after signing contracts with five banks, he specially found a lawyer team for justice, and invited two of the most famous law firms in the United States.
Even, he also brought PwC’s accountant over and notarized the entire cooperation.
This series of operations stunned Lin Yuan and Shen Juan.
“No, big brother, are you my big brother, okay?”
Lin Yuan was speechless when he saw Shen Fei doing this, and finally one day he pulled Shen Juan to find Shen Fei and said to him: “Although I am very happy that you have 400 million US dollars left, but you are not afraid of problems?” Those Mi people don’t have any discipline at all. “
“Don’t worry.”
Shen Fei laughed: “When the market collapses, it’s not something that these bank consortia can stop. “
“What do you mean?”
Lin Yuan frowned: “You mean to say that the entire market will collapse?” “
“Hmm.”
Shen Fei nodded: “I underestimated the impact of the subprime mortgage crisis on the United States before, and during this time, I read some information, although the real estate market is stable now, and it will not continue to collapse too seriously.” But in fact, those investment companies have already been strong in the outside world, and believe me, once one company collapses, it will be like dominoes, forming a chain reaction. “
He finally remembered why the valuation of Facebook and Twitter plummeted at the beginning of ’09.
The reason is very simple, because at that time, the entire environment of the United States fell into a situation of collapse.
The capitalists on Wall Street are already about to jump off the building, and how can they have time to invest in the Internet.
This may sound outrageous, but it’s true.
So.
What Shen Fei has to do now is to get a piece of the pie in the entire feast.
“Then according to what you said, aren’t Goldman Sachs also aware of the problem?”
Lin Yuan frowned: “It’s impossible for you to see the problem, they can’t see it.” “
“Hehe, of course they can see it, but what does the problem have to do with them?”
Shen Fei said calmly: “Even if the financial market of the United States collapses, the people will pay for it at that time, and the Federal Reserve will give them these banks and financial institutions to stabilize the market, and what will be lost at that time is just the wealth of ordinary people, and these good capitalists of large financial institutions will not lose money, they can even make a profit by shorting!” “
Shen Fei’s words made Lin Yuan and Shen Juan stunned.
They really never expected that there would be such a thing.
But if you think about it, this is in line with Hawk-chan’s usual behavior.
After all, in this country, rich people are the most important.
“I still feel a little risky.”
Lin Yuan thought about it and said helplessly: “If you do this, you are basically gambling.” “
“Isn’t life just a constant gambling?”
Shen Fei smiled and said to him: “Let’s go, take me to Silicon Valley, meet Zuckerberg, and take a look at Twitter by the way, I’m curious, what is the difference between these two companies.” “
363 Seeing his relaxed appearance, Lin Yuan looked helpless.
This guy doesn’t look like someone who just gambled $600 million, as if the money has nothing to do with him, it’s unimaginable.
Maybe that’s what makes me different from him.
Lin Yuan can now feel more and more that Shen Fei has an indescribable temperament, which is incomparable self-confidence, he firmly believes that every decision he makes is correct, and he firmly believes that even if he fails, he can make a comeback.
This kind of confidence is exactly what Lin Yuan does not have.
……………………
In the next few days, Shen Fei, accompanied by Lin Yuan, really went to Silicon Valley to visit the headquarters of Facebook Twitter.
I met Zuckerberg at FACE, and the two had an in-depth exchange.
Zuckerberg is very interested in this unpopular investor who also wants to invest in DACE.
“Shen, I’m curious, why do you insist on investing in face”
Zuckerberg asked Shen Fei puzzled.
He said it from his heart.
Because Zuckerberg has always been unaware that in fact, it is clear that Wanli Investment has a better choice of objects, but he has to choose himself, is it possible that Shen Fei has confidence in himself?
“It’s nothing, I think the development of social media is just the trend of Internet development in the future.”
Shen Fei said lightly: “Not only Facebook, but also invested in Twitter, and also invested in several Internet companies in social media in China. “
“Huh?”
Zuckerberg, who thought that Shen Fei would praise himself a few words, was directly dumbfounded, and looked at Shen Fei dumbfounded, a little unclear about what he meant.
As everyone knows, Shen Fei was already on the verge of laughing at this time, and his stomach hurt.
Pretending to be forced in front of Zuckerberg is a joyful thing.
This guy was a very tossing person in his later life, and later he made an appointment with Musk for a real person fighting competition.
Of course, there are also people who say that he is an alien and a robot.
But Shen Fei felt that Zuckerberg was really down at this moment.
“Haha, Mr. Zuckerberg, you have to understand, I’m an investment businessman, no matter what the project, as long as I think there’s an opportunity to help me make money, I’ll invest.”
Shen Fei looked at Mark Zuckerberg and said meaningfully: “Of course, if I think that this project may not make money, I will naturally withdraw from the scene, I hope you can understand.” “
Hearing Shen Fei’s words, Zuckerberg’s eyes suddenly lit up.
It seems that this guy has no idea about his company.
That’s fine, if Wanli Investment is just an investment company, it’s actually a good partner, and Zuckerberg knows this better than anyone.
In fact, he is willing to meet with this boiling Oriental investor on Wall Street recently, also to test that Wanli Investment has no idea about FACE in the end.
Judging from the attitude shown by Shen Fei now, Zuckerberg feels that he can rest assured for the time being.
This is a pure businessman!
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